Thanks to Campaign Zero, Cincinnati has Egg on its Face

2024-Bias-Free-Policing-Annual-Report New Orleans

NOPD says data shows no racial disparities. We checked it. – Verite News New Orleans

 

I think the problem many people have with the Campaign Zero report on bias-free policing is that, ironically, everyone knows that bias-free policing is not a black & white issue.

It is a “continuous improvement” issue.

A similarly situated police department has done many years of research and has reported on the complexities involved in examining bias-free policing. I am referring to the Annual Reports on Bias-free Policing produced by the New Orleans Police Department.

The NOPD has been producing these reports for a decade. Like Cincinnati, New Orleans was under a consent decree, and they have now had 10 years of documented effort on Bias-Free Policing.

Meanwhile, when it comes to bias-free policing in Cincinnati, the city management and consultants have been caught with egg on their faces. Essentially, the City Manager’s Office dropped the ball.

There is no transparency surrounding what happened to the Collaborative Agreement Refresh which was undertaken in 2017. The Refresh was intended to ensure that the Collaborative Agreement was sustained through a very structured effort at bias-free policing and Community Problem-Oriented Policing. As I have mentioned, there is little, if any, record of efforts on bias-free policing by Cincinnati after 2020.

If Cincinnati had done something similar to New Orleans’s Annual Reports on Bias-free Policing for the past 5 or 6 years, I think it is likely that this Campaign Zero matter would not have happened.

I did a search on Campaign Zero’s website for  anyreports about “New Orleans,” and found “No Results.”

The following quotes are found on pages 1 and 2 of the reportand provide a balanced perspective about  the data.

  1. “The evaluation of bias in policing is difficult as statistics cannot show the subjective, or even unconscious, bias that may play a role in the decision making of an officer.”

 

  1. “While there is no definitive test for determining the actual bias of an officer, the data can be useful in helping the Department identify trends over time that may need to be addressed through training, policy changes, or other corrective action.”

 

  1. “It is important for users of this data to understand that identifying and addressing specific officer misconduct is not the purpose of the audit.”

 

  1. “Although NOPD’s current methodology can conclusively identify disparities, it cannot conclusively identify the causes of the disparities, which may or may not include biased police officers or deployment strategies.”

I am not suggesting that the NOPD and their research are perfect but apparently, New Orleans is still under a consent decree and their Annual Reports are a big part of their case seeking to get out from under thje conset decree.

 

 

What Happened to Cincinnati’s Efforts on Bias-Free Policing?

 

Nov 2017 Mutual Accountability Progress Report

collaborative refresh plan update 2019

 “Bias-Free Policing,” is one of two overarching elements of the Collaborative. The other being” Community Problem Oriented Policing.” After the release of the Campaign Zero report concerning “contact cards,” I researched the city’s website to see what I could find about bias-free policing.

So far, the documents are showing that in June 2017, the city contracted with Former U.S. Attorney in Detroit, Saul Green, to provide the city with a progress report on the Collaborative Agreement. Mr. Green is the former court-appointed monitor of the original agreement.

In a November 2017 report titled, “City of Cincinnati Collaborative Agreement Mutual Accountability of All Parties,” Mr. Green reports the following:

“Perhaps the most critical omission in the current array of data analytic tools is the absence of methods used to assess bias. It is difficult to assess the progress in the Collaboration toward bias-free policing without these tools.”

In other words, the city had not yet developed a methodology to measure police bias using the data they had been collecting with the contact cards.

Then, in the 2018-2019 timeframe, (which I haven’t nailed down yet),  CPD issued an RFP to develop such an analytical tool to address Mr. Green’s finding. A contract was awarded to the University of Cincinnati, Institute of Crime Science. A kick-off meeting was held July 22, 2019.

There are also references to the effort on “bias-free policing” in a 2019 report from the city manager titled, “City of Cincinnati Office of the City Manager Collaborative Agreement Refresh 2019 Summary.”

After a February 2020 entry on CPD’s “Collaborative Agreement Timeline,” the structure and transparency of the management of the Collaborative Agreement Refresh seemed to fall off a cliff. For example, what happened to the contract with the University of Cincinnati? Did UC develop an analytical tool  for measuring police bias?

We will continue to piece together what happened to the city’s efforts on bias-free policing but the city’s mismanagement of the “Collaborative Agreement Refresh” left the city wide-open like sitting ducks for a group like Campaign Zero to do their hit job.

I’ll be posting relevant documents on my website. There are a lot, so I’ll be adding them over time.

 

 

Rezoning the Western Hill Sports Mall Site (6.5.26)

Next Door Post

The Planning Commission meeting on Friday, June 5th lasted 6 hours. Basically 3 hours for the historic designation for North Avondale and 3 hours on the rezoning of the Western Hills Sports Mall site.

The Commission considered two issues concerning the Sports Mall. They rezoned the site on a vote of 5 yea’s, 0 nay’s, and one abstention. Then they considered the development plan itself. It was ultimately approved 6 to zero but not before considerable confusion on the part of the Chairman.

After approving the zone change, the Commission became so mixed up about how to proceed that they went into executive session. There are questions about whether the process and the requirements necessary to go into executive sessions were satisfied. It could be a problem, if not.

Next, the rezoning of the site must be approved by city council and could be on the agenda when the city council holds their August meeting.

My opposition to the development is based on the seriously degraded quality of life in Price Hill, caused by government policy and programs that have concentrated poverty in the west side neighborhoods and the “nonprofit industrial complex,” that is thriving in Price Hill as a result.

During my public comments, I brought to the commission’s attention a post from the “Next Door” app that had been posted just days before the Commission meeting. It was posted by a woman living less than a mile from the Sports Mall site. Her back porch was set on fire, and she believes it was an act of retaliation. She recounts her experience in her post, below.

I told the Commission that there are thousands of residents of Price Hill who feel the same way about what has happened to the neighborhood. Increasing the density of the neighborhood will only make it worse.

Anna Albi was indignant about my comments. I suggested that the arsonist was probably one of the prostitutes,  drug addicts or a mentally ill persons who wander up and down Glenway. Ms. Albi expressed no sympathy for the arson victim just indignation at my suggestion.

Bottom line: the neighborhood needs solutions before adding more people and more problems. Efforts to address that issue have been underway for some months. Unfortunately, with little progress. That is a story for another day.

 

CSR Trust Board Meeting 5.19.26

 

CSRT Board Meeting Agenda 5.19.26

Selected WSJ Headlines Concerning Private Credit

Today, the Railway Board posted the video of their May 19, 2026, meeting. It is an hour and a half long.  The link is here:  https://archive.org/details/5-19-26-csr-trust-board

The agenda is posted above. Both the city’s presentation and the financial advisors’ presentation are worthwhile. However, the presentation from Apollo Private Credit, one of the Board’s newer financial advisors working with their primary advisor, UBS, is the more important .

Private Credit is getting a lot of attention lately in the investment world and my assessment is that the Board may need an independent advisor on the risks of private credit investing.

As it now stands, UBS is recommending (i.e. selling) the Board on investing in private credit but at the same time, the Board must also rely on UBS to advise them on the  risks involved in the private credit market. Investing in private credit is a lot different than investing in stocks and bonds, for example.

You do not have to be a financial genius to figure out that the ‘private credit’ sector of the investment world is generating a lot of news. I did a search on the Wall Street Journal’s digital site for “private credit,” and got back 19 articles for the month of May alone. That equates to one report a day for every work day in the month of May.

I have posted the WSJ list below. It also reveals the various issues present with private credit investing.  (AI helped me sort the articles )

Nothing against the Board but can we really rely on the Board to understand the various angles involved in private credit investing. I think that would be unreasonable.

That is why we are working on a recommendation for the Board that they seek an independent assessment of the risks involved in private credit investing.  The returns are potentially higher, but the risks are definitely higher. The Board is doing fine increasing the Trust Fund’s principal. It is up to $1.9 Billion. So, why do we need to put the Trusts’ money into risky investments?

Which brings up the second issue:  The addition of Apollo Private Credit likely increases, possibly substantially, the fees paid to the team of advisors that have been assembled by UBS.

However, I can’t say that for certain. Unfortunately, in its quarterly reports to the Board, information about the dollar fees that UBS and its team of advisors are charging the Trust Fund, is not reported. We are gong to work on that.

Readng the Fine Print: Item 79

Issue-22-passed.-Cincinnati-must-do-5-things-for-railroad-sale-to-work

 

The agenda for the June 3, 2026, city council meeting is very long but it is Item 79 (the last item) that got my attention.  It basically reprograms  more than $5 million in  capital funds from existing capital projects to the general fund and then back out to other supposed capital projects. But during the course of those transfers, more than $1 million will be shifted to cover operating costs, not capital projects.

Eventually, I suspect that this type of transferring money around will involve railway money. We all suspect that the city will try to use railway money for some big. ineligible project like an arena. But while that is very possible, I think it is more likely that the city will seek ways to use the railway funds to free up other capital money to cover operating costs elsewhere in the budget, which is what Item 79 does, but for now, with non-railway funds.

That is why I have recently been advocating that the city be required to maintain a separate ledger for tracking any transfers between projects and accounts when it involves railway money. Otherwise, this “operational loophole,” can circumvent the lone “internal control” contained in the law, the “existing infrastructure” provision. It would be very tedious to audit such transfers  without a separate accounting ledger.  Maybe that was the  intent of those who wrote the legislation. Who knows?

After the railway sale, in an Op-Ed in the Enquirer on November 17, 2023,  I also advocated that the city council establish a “floor” for the Capital Improvement Program based on FY24 funding levels, i.e., CIP funding level would never go below the FY 24 level.  My  point was that new railway proceeds should be added to the existing Capital Improvement Program funding level in order to ensure that there is an increase in spending on deferred maintenance, which during the campaign, was described by the mayor as a “crisis.”

I reasoned that establishing such a floor was the only way to guarantee that the city was going to devote the money necessary to tackle the estimated $400 million backlog in deferred maintenance . That backlog was the entire basis for selling the railway.

I think that as soon as the referendum  passed, that deferred maintenance list went straight into the circular file or someone’s bottom desk drawer,  never to be seen again.  Item 79 does not involve railway money as far as I can tell. But this is how the city will bleed the railway trust money away,

As I noted in my Op-Ed, the city manager already publicly contemplatedmoving existing capital funding to the operating budget. And the Cincinnati Futures Commission is recommending the same thing.

To those of us who opposed the sale of the railway, this will come as no surprise.

 

The Banks Urban Design Plan Update 5.20.26

The agenda for today’s city council meeting (5.20.26) includes two items (#25 and #26) concerning The Banks Urban Design Plan Update.

Item #25 appears to be a proposed city council resolution approving the plan update while Item #26 appears to be a proposed approval of  a related ordinance.

The agenda items include the same 130 page presentation of the plan that is too large to post on my website. But it is available on the city’s Legistar website at:

 202601638

https://cincinnatioh.legistar.com/LegislationDetail.aspx?ID=8032607&GUID=56A0AD39-BF31-46CE-9DCC-311CBACCAAF1

 202601640

https://cincinnatioh.legistar.com/LegislationDetail.aspx?ID=8033133&GUID=20AC6B3C-B441-4008-A3C8-6391F721EAF6

Farmer Music Center Presentation to City Council (undated)

 

 

Farmer_Music_Center ppt to City Council (undated)

Farmer Music Center Records Request

Apparently, this is the all the information that was presented to the city council concerning the $8 million subsidy request for the Farmer Music Center. The document is undated but presumably it was presented before the city council voted to include the subsidy in the FY27 budget.

I made a public records request for information the city council members relied on in their due diligence about the project. This is all the city disclosed – an 8-page powerpoint.

In a city council meeting, 5 council members voiced their support for the project citing projections about the positive economic benefits to the city and the return on investment the city would realize for our $8 million. So, I requested to see the analysis they were relying on to make those claims.  This powerpoint deck is all I received.

The CSO and MEMI are asking the city to invest $8 million in the Farmer Music Center but they provided the city council with nothing more than a “pitch deck” not an investors’ prospectus, which the city should absolutely require, at a minimum.

Links to the presentation and to my records request are provided above.

By the way, it took the city 5 weeks to provide an 8-page powerpoint presentation. Unacceptable.

Identifying the Financial Risks of the Convention Center Hotel Deal

As I mentioned the other day, the Budget, Finance and Governance Committee, at its meeting on Monday, April 20th, will do what is necessary to push along the convention center hotel deal for approval at Wednesday’s city council meeting.

Ever since there was agreement by the powers that be, that Cincinnati needed a “headquarters hotel” for conventions and an upgraded convention center, the momentum to make a deal built up and the deal gets to the finish line on Wednesday.  Once it started, it wasn’t going to stop. Whether it is a good deal or not.

So, this is not to criticize the deal. It is to help go into the deal with our eyes wide open.

The financing of the project is complicated. There are at least 9-layers of various sources of financing both public and private. The current estimated cost of the hotel is $564 million, and it is essentially 50/50 public and private. The convention center is all public funding.

Here are my observations about the convention center hotel project:

  1. In a June 18, 2025, article, the Cincinnati Business Courier reported that, “The city may need to put in $2 million to $3 million per year in additional resources, but those are preliminary numbers.” In other words, until the convention center and hotel start generating the projected increased tax revenues, the city will have to pay its obligations out of existing resources. It is anybody’s guess how many years that will be. We all know about projects that were supposed to pay for themselves that we will be subsidizing until the city shuts it down.

 

  1. As I mentioned the other day and as reflected in the first observation, the financial success of the project relies entirely on generating increased tourism and the various multiplier effects that result in higher tax revenues. So, the city is putting supply ahead of demand. The city will have to generate the demand.

 

  1. The financing plan, especially for the hotel, has 9 layers, and they all have to generate their projected funding. The Business Courier’s article provides a list, posted with this blog. There is one item not included on the Business Courier’s list. The city will agree to make a 30-year $50 million loan to the project. Any outstanding payoff after 30 years can be forgiven.

 

  1. The city’s financial commitment to the hotel is open ended. The project will be crowding out other uses for those tax revenues until the project starts “paying its way.” I have not seen any discussion of that.

To sum up, soon after the city council’s  approval of the “convention headquarters hotel,” on Wednesday, the city will begin subsidizing the project. An extensive financing stack kicks in and the city must begin paying its obligations related to the project. Since there are no increased tax revenues yet, the city must pay obligations out of existing funds.

As I mentioned the other night, if the murders, shootings, other violent crimes and teen mobs in Cincinnati are not abated to the point where the city’s safety image improves the project may have a problem succeeding. The city and county will have an updated convention center and a new hotel or two, but they may be underused and require continued subsidies to meet financial obligations.

The city council should already know what the bookings look like for the new convention center and hotel. The type of conventions that the city is trying to attract are planned years in advance. It would be good to know that baseline before ctiy council votes.

 

Convention Center and Hotel Project

Most things in the city government wind up in the Budget, Finance and Governance (BFG) Committee. That is why I focus on that committee and not some of the others.

You can get on a mailing list to get the agendas sent to you for whichever committees you are interested in,  as well the city council meetings. You need to contact the clerk of council to get on the mailing list.

On Fridays, they send out the agenda for Monday’s  meeting of the BFG Committee. The agenda for this coming Monday (4.20.26) is short, but it includes a major ordinance. They are going to approve the deal on the convention center hotel.

The city actually established a “Convention Center District,” including a plan for both the convention center and the convention center hotel.  Together, it is an approximate $750 million project, where the city is responsible for just about all the funding for the convention center and a substantial part of the hotel financing.

I am trying to put together a report on how all the financing works, but it is extremely complicated, at least for me. So, I am still working on it. (And I still intend to report out on the presentation of the Davenport financial advisors about the city’s credit rating).

In the meantime, one thing is clear.  For the city, the entire success or failure of the convention center project depends on whether the convention center generates enough ‘additional’ economic activity, like bars and restaurants, entertaining, shopping,  etc.  And that depends on whether downtown Cincinnati is perceived in the region and nationally as safe.

If you look at the publicly available documents, it is evident that the city’s strategy is a “If we build it, they will come,” strategy.  So, if “they do not come,” it will fail. The council should be concerned that the project could be significantly jeopardized by a national or regional perception that downtown Cincinnati is not safe.

Instead of asking how the CPD would reduce their FY27 budget by 5.1%, the city manager should be asking what the CPD could do with an additional 5%, 10% or more. And all the turmoil involving the Chief of Police drama does not help the city’s public safety image.

The reality is that the committee will approve to put the convention center deal on the agenda for Wednesday’s city council meeting, where it will be approved 9-0, no questions asked.